Impact of Retail CBDC on Digital Payments and Bank Deposits: Evidence from India
The U.S. National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) published an empirical analysis utilizing detailed transaction data from India’s digital rupee pilot to explore the dynamics between central bank digital currency (CBDC) and existing digital payment methods, as well as the implications of increased CBDC usage on traditional bank deposits. It found that the April 2023 introduction of merchant fees on certain Unified Payments Interface (UPI) person-to-merchant (P2M) payments catalyzed a substitution effect into digital rupees. Furthermore, it found that an uptick in CBDC usage was associated with a notable decline in bank, cash, and savings deposits. [Read more at the NBER]
Nothing to hide? Gender and age differences in the willingness to share data
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) published a paper that, based on a representative survey of about 1,300 US consumers, found that women are less willing than men to share their financial transaction data in exchange for better offers on financial services. Differences in attitudes across groups, such as the willingness to take financial risks, concerns that data will become publicly available and concerns around personal safety, explain part of these gaps. The analysis also shows that older individuals are also less willing to share their data, perhaps as a matter of principle. This could result in biased samples and outcomes that are not in the interest of the underrepresented groups, e.g. in lending decisions, financial advice, and health applications. [Read more at the BIS]
Upcoming Speaking Engagements:
- CBDC Conference, Istanbul, September 10-12. The conference will offer representatives of central banks, commercial banks, technology providers, policy makers and academics the perfect platform to learn about the latest CBDC developments, exchange ideas with experts and peers. [Find out more and register here][Central bank delegates may be eligible for free registration (email registration@cbdc-conference.com to find out more)]
- Digital Currency Conference, London, September 23-24. The conference will bring together policymakers, regulators, and technology and innovation experts to network and discuss all aspects of digital currencies. And enter the KiffmeisterDCC code at registration to get a 20% discount! [Find out more and register here]
And just a reminder that I produce a monthly digest of central bank digital currency (CBDC) developments exclusively for the official sector. So (only) if you work at a central bank, ministry of finance or international financial institution (e.g., the BIS, IMF, OECD, World Bank) and who would like to receive it by email on the first business day of every month, please DM me on LinkedIn or email me at john@kiffmeister.com.
