Stablecoins and Crypto Shocks: An Update (NY Fed)
The New York Federal Reserve Bank (NY Fed) published an article that discusses the evolution and growth of stablecoins, noting their significant increase in market capitalization since 2019, primarily concentrated in Tether and USDCoin. It highlights a shift in collateral towards U.S. Treasury securities and reverse repurchase agreements and finds that stablecoins, especially riskier ones, experience capital inflows following large increases in bitcoin prices, reflecting a link between stablecoin demand and overall crypto ecosystem activity, which updates previous findings about outflows during negative bitcoin price shocks for riskier stablecoins. [Read more at the NY Fed]
Thanks to Lars Hupel, here are two central bank digital currency (CBDC) survey-based research reports from Eurozone country central banks:
Survey of potential users of the digital euro: new evidence from Slovakia (NBS)
[October 12, 2024] The National Bank of Slovakia (NBS) surveyed 1200 people, asking about people’s awareness and willingness to use the digital euro. 34% of respondents have heard of the digital euro; 26% intend to use it. They found that the likelihood of its usage depends on trust in institutions such as the central bank, and preferences for cash payments, in addition to standard socio-economic factors. They also investigated whether respondent’s answers are linked to political preferences and trust in the central bank. To quote: “liberals are more inclined to consider using the digital euro, while EU skeptics are significantly less likely to do so”. The survey also reveals that privacy and transaction security are among the top concerns for potential users. The majority of respondents plan to allocate nearly 20% of their net monthly income to digital euro holdings. [Read more at the NBS]
Assessing consumer CBDC adoption in Luxembourg: a micro-simulation approach (BCL)
[January 2025] Banque Centrale du Luxembourg (BCL) published a paper that simulated consumer adoption of CBDC based on data from the 2022 Study on the Payment Attitudes of Consumers in the Euro area (SPACE) survey of payment habits. The micro-simulation classified 1% of consumers as cash-only, 22% as cash-preferring, 29% as cashless-preferring and 47% as cashless-only. Our theoretical results suggest that if CBDC is accepted by all retailers, then cashless-preferring consumers will adopt it instead of cash, but adoption by other consumers would also depend on CBDC design, cost, security and their use of credit cards. If CBDC transactions can be funded by drawing cash directly from the user’s bank payment account (i.e., via a “a waterfall” mechanism), 24% of the value of total payments will be in CBDC. If CBDC transactions can be funded via a direct link to consumer credit (e.g. drawing on the user’s credit card) 92% of total payment values will be made in CBDC. [Read more at the BCL]
And just a reminder that I produce a monthly digest of central bank digital currency (CBDC) developments exclusively for the official sector. So (only) if you work at a central bank, ministry of finance or international financial institution (e.g., the BIS, IMF, OECD, World Bank) and who would like to receive it by email on the first business day of every month, please DM me on LinkedIn or email me at john@kiffmeister.com.
